Hubris

Soft Spot? Maybe in Our Heads, But Not in Our Hearts

Dolors & Sense

by Sanford Rose

KISSIMMEE Florida—(Weekly Hubris)—6/6/11—An unproductive debate is raging over whether the economy’s current woes are just a “soft spot” or the beginnings of a new recession.

One thing is clear: if our hearts had been soft enough and our heads hard enough, there would be no soft economic patches.

Nor the prospect of worse. Not at this time—when, just out of a tough recession, the economy has in the past expanded at three times the current clip.

The economy is growing sluggishly or not at all because the consumer won’t spend.

The consumer won’t spend because confidence is weak.

Confidence is weak because the world is topsy-turvy.

The average person thought he had a government that could be counted on to help “level the economic playing field.”

But that hasn’t happened.

The distribution of income promises to become even more skewed than in the past, as the rich preserve their tax gains and state and local authorities cut expenditures for the education that might enable the jobless to acquire needed job skills.

The average person thought he had a government that would correct its own mistakes.

But that hasn’t happened.

The government created the recession by first flooding the economy with money and then failing to monitor the lending of that money by institutions it allegedly supervised.

Most of the same institutions that squandered the money have received additional money, post-crisis, to prop them up. But those who really suffered from indiscriminate bankerly open-handedness—the hapless mortgagors—have not been similarly favored.

The average person thought he had a competent government.

But that wasn’t the case.

The government intensified the financial crisis by vagarious decision-making—saving some businesses, allowing others to fail, and then reverting back to the savior mode, without apparent clarity of judgment and with a suspicion of vindictiveness toward some—e.g., Lehman Bros.

The average person thought he had a compassionate government.

But compassion seems shrewdly absent.

The political discourse is dominated by only a small part of the government that tells the average person with remarkable callousness that he must tighten his belt and reduce spending while expecting less Social Security support and medical attention in the future.

Recently, a medical research group attempted to project the consequences for the suicide rate of a prolonged economic slowdown, using data extrapolated from Japan. It found that the USA should expect an increase of about 12,000 suicides a year as a result of our economic woes.

The combination of hard hearts and soft minds kills.

Sanford Rose, of New Jersey and Florida, served as Associate Editor of Fortune Magazine from 1968 till 1972; Vice President of Chase Manhattan Bank in 1972; Senior Editor of Fortune between 1972 and 1979; and Associate Editor, Financial Editor and Senior Columnist of American Banker newspaper between 1979 and 1991. From 1991 till 2001, Rose worked as a consultant in the banking industry and a professional ghost writer in the field of finance. He has also taught as an adjunct professor of banking at Columbia University and an adjunct instructor of economics at New York University. He states that he left gainful employment in 2001 to concentrate on gain-less investing. (A lifelong photo-phobe, Rose also claims that the head shot accompanying his Weekly Hubris columns is not his own, but belongs, instead, to a skilled woodworker residing in South Carolina.)

3 Comments

  • diana

    Good piece, and one that resonates in Greece, where hard hearts are definitely causing a lot of heartbreak.

  • barbara K.

    Dear Elizabeth …..laptop was in sickbay….stunned about your statement re P. L. Fermor….He was a good friend of so many of my dear friends.. Hope you are feeling much better….I was with my darling daughter…always such a joy….she will be in North Carolina for a conference at end of month….How can I look up some of your books. Love Barb

  • eboleman-herring

    Hi, Barbara! Nearly didn’t see this, as it’s posted on Sanford Rose’s column. My latest memoir may be found at http://www.GreeceInPrint.com….. All best, e (PS Paddy isn’t the first great writer to have feet, calves and knees of veritable clay! :-)